The Die is Cast

It looks like Ontario has a new (old) government. Not much is new on that front. But the good news from the election is that the Greens portion of the popular vote skyrocketed to 8%, which is an impressive gain.

The bad news is that MMP didn’t receive the support it needed to pass, which precipitates a few questions: did the MMP initiative fail because people understood it and didn’t like it, or because they misunderstood it and didn’t like it? Was the system properly explained? Should the pro-reform use this as a starting point to pushing for future reform?

3 Responses to “The Die is Cast”

  1. 2007.Oct.11 @ 10:46

    Here’s my personal take on MMP and the referendum (though this is only the view from my secluded little piece of the world)…

    First up, a lot of people didn’t know about the referendum at all. Now I blame this a lot on the people themselves and only partly on the pro-MMP people and others who should be keeping us informed. Because on the one hand I know we all received little things in the mail saying that there was a referendum happening, I saw commercials, and I heard/read about it on the news so at that point I figured I had to look into it. A lot of others dismissed it and now say “Why wasn’t I told about this?” So a lot of it is their own fault for just being oblivious but also, in this day and age it seems that the above just isn’t enough. Things in the mail tend to just get thrown in with the load of bulk mail we receive. Commercials are fast-forwarded through using TiVo or PVRs or whatever. And the only “news” people are watching is Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert. So it takes something more to get people’s attention.

    Secondly, even when I did look into it I don’t think the descriptions of MMP were all that great. It took some work to answer some questions I had like “overhang seats” and some sites that talked about it were giving crappy information. Some sites actually just said that some mathematicians claimed overhang seats couldn’t happen in Ontario with no explanation. I thought “Really?” It seemed like some things were being glossed over.

    And that leads to the whole “sky will fall” thing. People who did know a bit about it were seemingly getting swamped with messages about how evil it was right from the start. How “fringe” parties would somehow get all the power. How some adult film star would get a seat (I guess something like this happened somewhere else that wasn’t even using MMP, or at least this version of MMP). How it would cost us more money. How elected officials wouldn’t be responsible to the voters because they were put in by their parties and not elected by the people. Etc, etc. And at that point people made up their minds that it was evil and didn’t want to hear any more about it.

    Now that’s not to say some issues people have with might not be appropriate. I know some people who do look into it don’t like the idea of people being given seats that aren’t directly voted in by the people. And that’s a valid way to feel and should be discussed. But the majority of people I talk to about it were throwing out quotes and such that they read on the internet and had no substance.

    Perhaps what I might have liked to see (and maybe it was done and I missed it), attach a discussion about it to the debate but instead of having the politicians talking about it, have the pro-MMP side pick one person to represent them and the anti-MMP side pick someone. Have a third party present the choices and have each side present their reasons for going MMP or not.

    But as I said, this is just my narrow view of things.

  • 2007.Oct.13 @ 09:46

    I agree with much of Darrell’s comments, though I would disagree agree with the presumption that it’s the public’s fault for not being aware of the issue. Yes, a pamphlet arrived by mail. A few times, actually. But people will not be convinced to fundamentally change the way MPPs are voted because they read a pamphlet.

    Simply, people decide voting preferences through a complex network that intertwines various media and their personal relationships. If their friends, family, and opinion-leaders are not talking about electoral reform it likely will not not register with the individual, no matter how much advertising you throw at them. And let’s be honest: MMP pretty much fell from the sky. There was a citizen’s assembly formed – who knows when – and the locked themselves away in a closet until a few months ago when the emerged on-high that MMP is the way Ontario should elect its leaders. Oh. Okay.
    If one wants to convince a finicky, often ill-attentive (cough, 52% voter turnout, cough) and dispossessed electorate then they need to develop real buy-in on the idea. A pamphlet or two isn’t going to do it.

    And unless one has a HUGE marketing budget, it ain’t going to happen over the course of a few months. People need to be feeling like their politicians don’t represent them. And while people may be frustrated with politics, I bet there is still a fairly strong connection felt to their local representative: “McGuinty, Tory, and Hampton are weasels, but Chris Smith, MPP isn’t the same”.

    Let’s not forget too, the short shrift given to it by the candidates. Do you think any of those parties running wanted it to pass? No more majorities and the necessity to work together? *shiver*. So, surprise, none of the leaders said a word. They knew if they ignored it, it would simply go away.

    The bottom line, I am in no way surprised the referendum failed a horrible failure. It’s too bad, it might have shook things up nicely. Or, it may just exasperate an already frazzled political terrain. Is electoral reform dead? Maybe not. But, until the electorate moves from their current passivity toward politics to a desire to actively engage in change, or until a major party genuinely embraces electoral reform, first past the post is the familiar beast.

  • 2007.Oct.13 @ 13:11

    As Darrell says, voters could have done a lot more educate themselves; but it was a bit of an uphill battle. It took a fair amount of searching for me to find a reasonable explanation of the proposed system, and I still can’t find a concise list of reasons why the Citizen’s Assembly chose MMP. Elections Ontario should have been tasked with explaining the system. Expecting the Yes and No sides to do it hobbled the Yes side (who had to both advocate and explain), while giving a massive advantage to the No side (who cherry-picked aspects of the proposed system to put it into a poor light).

    I took a quick look at the referendum results in the BC electoral reform referendum and the PEI referendum. In BC, 57.69% of the voters said they wanted a new system. Meanwhile, in PEI, only 36.42% of the voters wanted a new system. The BC referendum took place in very similar circumstances to the Ontario election. It looks like BG has a point: if the public really wants a new system, then they’ll vote for it. It sounds like election reformers have to start playing up the unfairness of our current system…

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